Photo: Dylan Buell / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Indiana Pacers (6-25) visit the Miami Heat (16-15) after losing three road games in a row. The Heat are favored by 8.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 27, 2025.
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Heat vs. Pacers Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this game expects a final result of Heat 123, Pacers 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-372)
- Total Pick: Over 230 (computer predicts 232.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-8.5)
Recent Heat vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28/2025 | Pacers | -3 | 223.5 | -152 | +127 | 125-120 MIA |
| 1/2/2025 | Heat | -2 | 225.5 | -134 | +113 | 128-115 IND |
| 11/17/2024 | Pacers | -3.5 | 228 | -164 | +138 | 119-110 IND |
| 11/15/2024 | Pacers | -4.5 | 228.5 | -191 | +160 | 124-111 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Miami has put together a 17-13-1 record against the spread.
- The Heat have a 1-2 record against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in 14 of Miami's 31 games with a set total.
- This season, the Heat have won eight out of the 14 games, or 57.1%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Miami has won two of its three games when favored by at least -372 on the moneyline.
Pacers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Indiana has put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread.
- The Pacers have a 6-3 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 12 of Indiana's 31 games with a set total have hit the over (38.7%).
- The Pacers have won 15.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (4-22).
- Indiana has a record of 1-7 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +294 or longer (12.5%).
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Heat vs. Pacers Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Bam Adebayo: Day-To-Day (Back),
Tyler Herro: Day-To-Day (Toe)
Pacers
Pacers:
Tyrese Haliburton: Out For Season (Achilles),
Ben Sheppard: Day-To-Day (Calf),
Isaiah Jackson: Day-To-Day (Concussion),
Obi Toppin: Out (Foot),
Aaron Nesmith: Out (Knee)
Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSIN, and WPLG
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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