Climate forecast models are forecasting a better monsoon than last year for most of the state. There could be an active start to the monsoon season in July before it slows down a little in August and especially September. July is usually when we see the onset of the monsoon in New Mexico.
There is high confidence of near to above average rainfall across western New Mexico, with near to slightly below average rainfall in the eastern plains. Between these two areas, near-average rainfall is likely. And that is our forecast for the ABQ and Santa Fe areas.
Temps are expected to likely be above average.
